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Politička nestabilnost zaprijetila je turskoj ekonomiji. Potrošačko povjerenje je na niskom nivou, ali privrednike više od toga brine pad vrijednosti lire. S ovako nepovoljnim trendovima Vlada se ne može izboriti, stoga svi čekaju sljedeće izbore, na čiji bi ishod ekonomska kretanja mogla imati veliki utjecaj.
Turski potrošači su nervozni. Nivo njihovog povjerenja u ekonomiju i lične finansije pao je na šestogodišnji minimum, prema službenim statističkim podacima. Politička pat pozicija i sukobi s kurdskim separatistima potiču ovu neizvjesnost. Posljedice trpi i nacionalna valuta.
“Sve dok je dolar snažan, poslovanje će biti loše. Ljudi ne ulažu svoje teško zarađene plate u sir i masline, već u dolare. I ja sam tako razmišljao. Kupio sam dolare za 1.500 lira, a onda ih kasnije prodao i zaradio 500 lira“, kaže Erdal Usufoglu, trgovac.
Preduzetnici koji trguju u dolarima bore se s novom vrijednošću lire.
Valute pod pritiskom
“Kupujemo sve sirovine iz inostranstva u stranoj valuti. Budući da trgujemo na domaćem tržištu, to se automatski odražava na naše maloprodajne cijene. Rentu, također, plaćamo američkim dolarima“, kaže Cuneyt Mutkan, vlasnik prodavnice tekstila.
Pod pritiskom su i valute drugih tržišta u razvoju, poput Brazila, Malezije i Južnoafričke Republike. Ali, Tursku muče i unutrašnji problemi.
“Turska treba snažnu vladu kako bi se nosila s nestabilnošću finansijskih tržišta, a nama tek predstoje izbori, što tursku ekonomiju čini manje otpornom na vanjske rizike. Već imamo veliki deficit tekućeg računa i visoku inflaciju“, objašnjava ekonomist Enver Erkan.
Lira je u ovoj godini izgubila četvrtinu vrijednosti u odnosu na dolar.